Hydroclimate projections for Panama in the late 21st Century
This work analyzes hydroclimate projections in Panama toward the end of the 21st century by employing the MRIAGCM3.1 model. Understanding the impact of climate change on water resources is fundamental for a number of economic activities in Panama (i.e. Panama Canal operation, hydropower generation,...
Na minha lista:
| Autor principal: | |
|---|---|
| Outros Autores: | , , , |
| Formato: | article |
| Idioma: | inglês |
| Publicado em: |
2013
|
| Assuntos: | |
| Acesso em linha: | https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/hrl/7/2/7_23/_article/-char/ja/ http://ridda2.utp.ac.pa/handle/123456789/4444 |
| Tags: |
Sem tags, seja o primeiro a adicionar uma tag!
|
| _version_ | 1869652462230568960 |
|---|---|
| author | Fábrega, José |
| author2 | Nakaegawa, Tosiyuki Pinzón, Reinhardt Nakayama, Keisuke Arakawa, Osamu |
| author2_role | author author author author |
| author_browse | Arakawa, Osamu Fábrega, José Nakaegawa, Tosiyuki Nakayama, Keisuke Pinzón, Reinhardt |
| author_facet | Fábrega, José Nakaegawa, Tosiyuki Pinzón, Reinhardt Nakayama, Keisuke Arakawa, Osamu |
| author_role | author |
| collection | Repositorio Institucional de documento digitales de acceso abierto de la UTP |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Fábrega, José Nakaegawa, Tosiyuki Pinzón, Reinhardt Nakayama, Keisuke Arakawa, Osamu |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv | 2013-03-31 2013-03-31 2018-03-22T14:33:03Z 2018-03-22T14:33:03Z 2018-03-22T14:33:03Z 2018-03-22T14:33:03Z |
| dc.format.none.fl_str_mv | application/pdf |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv | https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/hrl/7/2/7_23/_article/-char/ja/ 1882-3416 http://ridda2.utp.ac.pa/handle/123456789/4444 http://ridda2.utp.ac.pa/handle/123456789/4444 |
| dc.language.none.fl_str_mv | eng eng |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| dc.source.none.fl_str_mv | reponame:Repositorio Institucional de documento digitales de acceso abierto de la UTP instname:Universidad Tecnológica de Panamá instacron:U Tecnológica de Panamá |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv | Panama hydroclimate projection MRIAGCM3.1 precipitation evaporation total runoff Panama hydroclimate projection MRIAGCM3.1 precipitation evaporation total runoff |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv | Hydroclimate projections for Panama in the late 21st Century |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
| description | This work analyzes hydroclimate projections in Panama toward the end of the 21st century by employing the MRIAGCM3.1 model. Understanding the impact of climate change on water resources is fundamental for a number of economic activities in Panama (i.e. Panama Canal operation, hydropower generation, and agriculture). Therefore, it is important to assess hydroclimatic impacts in specific basins using reliable Atmospheric Global Circulation Models (AGCMs) validated against actual field data. A 20-km mesh experiment was developed by using time-sliced analysis for current (1979–2002) and future (2075–2099) periods. Uncertainty in climate projections were addressed by completing 60-km mesh AGCM ensemble experiments at three additional lower boundary conditions. Four regions in Panama were selected for detailed analysis: from east to west, Bocas del Toro, Veraguas, Panama Canal and Darien. Projections show significant precipitation increases from May and July to December for all regions except Bocas del Toro. In this region, a decrease in precipitation is expected between April and August. Total runoff for all regions followed the changes in precipitation as expected. Due to net radiation increases, projected evaporation did not appear to be affected by precipitation changes. |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| format | article |
| id | lrtest_4c212b26f57bcf23bcc4fe93d063bde7 |
| identifier_str_mv | 1882-3416 |
| instacron_str | U Tecnológica de Panamá |
| institution | U Tecnológica de Panamá |
| instname_str | Universidad Tecnológica de Panamá |
| language | eng |
| network_acronym_str | lrtest |
| network_name_str | lr |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:ridda2.utp.ac.pa:123456789/4444 |
| publishDate | 2013 |
| publishDateSort | 2013 |
| reponame_str | Repositorio Institucional de documento digitales de acceso abierto de la UTP |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv | |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv | |
| repository_id_str | |
| rights_invalid_str_mv | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ |
| spelling | Hydroclimate projections for Panama in the late 21st CenturyFábrega, JoséNakaegawa, TosiyukiPinzón, ReinhardtNakayama, KeisukeArakawa, OsamuPanamahydroclimate projectionMRIAGCM3.1precipitationevaporationtotal runoffPanamahydroclimate projectionMRIAGCM3.1precipitationevaporationtotal runoffThis work analyzes hydroclimate projections in Panama toward the end of the 21st century by employing the MRIAGCM3.1 model. Understanding the impact of climate change on water resources is fundamental for a number of economic activities in Panama (i.e. Panama Canal operation, hydropower generation, and agriculture). Therefore, it is important to assess hydroclimatic impacts in specific basins using reliable Atmospheric Global Circulation Models (AGCMs) validated against actual field data. A 20-km mesh experiment was developed by using time-sliced analysis for current (1979–2002) and future (2075–2099) periods. Uncertainty in climate projections were addressed by completing 60-km mesh AGCM ensemble experiments at three additional lower boundary conditions. Four regions in Panama were selected for detailed analysis: from east to west, Bocas del Toro, Veraguas, Panama Canal and Darien. Projections show significant precipitation increases from May and July to December for all regions except Bocas del Toro. In this region, a decrease in precipitation is expected between April and August. Total runoff for all regions followed the changes in precipitation as expected. Due to net radiation increases, projected evaporation did not appear to be affected by precipitation changes.This work analyzes hydroclimate projections in Panama toward the end of the 21st century by employing the MRIAGCM3.1 model. Understanding the impact of climate change on water resources is fundamental for a number of economic activities in Panama (i.e. Panama Canal operation, hydropower generation, and agriculture). Therefore, it is important to assess hydroclimatic impacts in specific basins using reliable Atmospheric Global Circulation Models (AGCMs) validated against actual field data. A 20-km mesh experiment was developed by using time-sliced analysis for current (1979–2002) and future (2075–2099) periods. Uncertainty in climate projections were addressed by completing 60-km mesh AGCM ensemble experiments at three additional lower boundary conditions. Four regions in Panama were selected for detailed analysis: from east to west, Bocas del Toro, Veraguas, Panama Canal and Darien. Projections show significant precipitation increases from May and July to December for all regions except Bocas del Toro. In this region, a decrease in precipitation is expected between April and August. Total runoff for all regions followed the changes in precipitation as expected. Due to net radiation increases, projected evaporation did not appear to be affected by precipitation changes.2018-03-22T14:33:03Z2018-03-22T14:33:03Z2018-03-22T14:33:03Z2018-03-22T14:33:03Z2013-03-312013-03-31info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/hrl/7/2/7_23/_article/-char/ja/1882-3416http://ridda2.utp.ac.pa/handle/123456789/4444http://ridda2.utp.ac.pa/handle/123456789/4444engenghttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositorio Institucional de documento digitales de acceso abierto de la UTPinstname:Universidad Tecnológica de Panamáinstacron:U Tecnológica de Panamáoai:ridda2.utp.ac.pa:123456789/44442021-07-06T15:34:45Z |
| spellingShingle | Hydroclimate projections for Panama in the late 21st Century Fábrega, José Panama hydroclimate projection MRIAGCM3.1 precipitation evaporation total runoff Panama hydroclimate projection MRIAGCM3.1 precipitation evaporation total runoff |
| status_str | publishedVersion |
| title | Hydroclimate projections for Panama in the late 21st Century |
| title_full | Hydroclimate projections for Panama in the late 21st Century |
| title_fullStr | Hydroclimate projections for Panama in the late 21st Century |
| title_full_unstemmed | Hydroclimate projections for Panama in the late 21st Century |
| title_short | Hydroclimate projections for Panama in the late 21st Century |
| title_sort | Hydroclimate projections for Panama in the late 21st Century |
| topic | Panama hydroclimate projection MRIAGCM3.1 precipitation evaporation total runoff Panama hydroclimate projection MRIAGCM3.1 precipitation evaporation total runoff |
| url | https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/hrl/7/2/7_23/_article/-char/ja/ http://ridda2.utp.ac.pa/handle/123456789/4444 |